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Member Profile: MATT2012 (2739 posts)

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Hello, I'm MATT2012 (report this user)
I am from India
I last logged in on 28 Apr 2017
I have been a member since 24 Oct 2011
I have added 2739 posts in trackitt forums
I added my last post on 28 Apr 2017
MATT2012's Immigration Cases
 
I-485 case: Approved in 619 days (45 days less than average)   (127 comments)
User: MATT2012 Nationality: India
Country of Chargeability:IndiaApplicant Type:primary
Service Center:NebraskaCategory:EB2
Priority Date:07 Dec 2007Application Filed:03 Dec 2011
USCIS Received Date:03 Dec 2011USCIS Notice Date:
USCIS Receipt Number:I-140/485 Filing:non-concurrent
I-140 Processing Type:regularI-140 Approval Date:
First Fingerprint Date:Second Fingerprint Date:
RFE Received?:yesRFE Received Date:02 Mar 2012
Reason for RFE:RFE Replied Date:23 Mar 2012
Case Transferred to:Transfer Date:
Name Check Status:Name Check Approval Date:
I-485 Status:approvedI-485 Approval/Denial Date:13 Aug 2013
Card Production Ordered:13 Aug 2013Card Received Date:17 Aug 2013
EAD Applied?:AP Applied?:
EAD Approval Date:AP Approval Date:
EAD Received:AP Received:
Time to Get EAD Approval:Time to Get AP Approval:
Time to Get Fingerprinting Done:Total Time to Get GC:619 days
Most Recent LUD:Days Elapsed:
Experience:
Case Added to Tracker: 21 Mar 2013 Last Updated: 21 Aug 2013
Notes:
MATT2012's Posts
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 28 Apr 2017
Topic: Trackitt Prediction for EB2I


There hasn't been any approvals for EB-2 India (with or without RFE). This is an indication that the Visa number for EB-2 India have exhausted and are no longer being allocated.

I think we will most likely see retrogression for EB2-I in the next VB



EB2I I-485 applications are still getting approved, so I don't think visa numbers are exhausted.
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 24 Apr 2017
Topic: June 2017 - Visa Bulletin Prediction


Hi Matt,
Thank you so much for your time. Is this the same Matt who prepared the excel sheet ( I remember someone talking about the Matt's excel ) - Thanks a lot -



Those spreadsheets were easier when the spillover numbers were good. Less the spillovers more difficult to calculate.
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 24 Apr 2017
Topic: June 2017 - Visa Bulletin Prediction


Given the information available,

What is your prediction for worst, realistic, and optimistic scenarios this year?

Thanks,



My current assumption is anywhere from annual quota to may be a few hundred visas additional. From those numbers, one could not calculate the different scenarios, as number of new porting cases approved may eventually determine the final dates in September.
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 24 Apr 2017
Topic: June 2017 - Visa Bulletin Prediction


Welcome back Matt! Situation is grim this year, but I am hopeful for the next year. On Q Blog I read PERM filings this year are down 20% so far, which might reflect in numbers next year.
I hope the administration tightens the screws around EB1 abuse also, which might help.



We could do some calculations to project annual consumption from PERM numbers. it is a little vague, but possible. PERM is a lead indicator, but there are cases that don't need PERM. Also there is a lag time between PERM approval and final approval of I485( lag time keeps varying a little). Majority of the PERM cases approved from now to the fiscal year end will falll in the next FY for I-485 approval. So the reductions in PERM approval that you see may be a positive indicator, it may not tell the whole story.

With regard to EB1- Tightening of norms by the current administration is possible, but is a slow process. There are several factors that could influence the final outcome. Many here may remember, H1B rules tightening during the early part of the prior administration. it did not curtail the total number of H1's, it made life of individuals difficult while the large corporates keep applying more and more. This time we hear much more noise, let us see whether any genuine reform will come out of this. Legislative process is very different from the current sound bites..
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 24 Apr 2017
Topic: June 2017 - Visa Bulletin Prediction


What! - that is crazy! - 10 to 15 years is waaaaaaaaaaaay too much.

Not sure what is the source for your analysis - could you please explain

I thought April 2009 will be getting greened in 2018 October to December - folks anyone agree with me?
please anyone between jan to april 2009 please suggest

Thanks
Rj



It is sometime since I posted about PD movements. From my few years of observing this data, it is very difficult even to calculate where the current year will end up. So any guessing beyond current year are pure frustrations pouring out, than any factual details.

We know some details about PERM approvals, trackitt approvals and also pending Inventory. From those three, there are no indications of any spillover this year. At best EB2I may gets as much visas as last fiscal year( assuming some minor SO from within EB2). At the end of this fiscal we will definitely have cases pending in 2008, a few in 2007 etc. There willl also be new cases in EB2I for those years.

if there are processing delays for I485 in some categories, it could help EB2I a little. That is the best I could think currently.

Currently April 2009 do look like far away, but you never know how tides change..
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 10 May 2016
Topic: Matt's forecast XLS is updated


Hi MATT,

Do you think USCIS is going to deliberately slow the EB2ROW processing to accommodate EB2I cases end of the year?



I do think that they prioritize between different categories through out the year and at the end of the fiscal it will stay balanced. There are years where EB2 I benefited significantly, but I cannot generalize it.

Towards the end of the year, the effort is not to waste visas. At that time, they may clear some EB2 I cases as most checks are complete in those cases. Between now and then, there are many more variables that would eventually determine the year end strategy.
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 10 May 2016
Topic: Matt's forecast XLS is updated


dude Matt has retired from predicting .... with the current scenario there is not much hope for eb2i ..... only hope is eb3i gets a big SO this year which will reduce porting in next year



I still keep looking into approval data of most categories, USCIS processing speed of some categories may determine where we reach this year.

As far as EB3I to EB2I porting before 2007, it will reduce this year and possibly much further next year.
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 10 May 2016
Topic: Matt's forecast XLS is updated


Matt,
I guess everyone is still waiting for your predictions.
Thanks



it is very difficult to calculate, when the expected SO is very minimal. From the Visa bulletin, my thinking is CO expects entire EB2I quota to be over this month and he cannot accommodate any more until he is sure that some spillover exists. Even though CO was extremely conservative( I believe there is every reason to be conservative, given his experience historically), he may wait until very late in the fiscal, to see if any SO can be allocated to EB2 India.
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 10 May 2016
Topic: Matt's forecast XLS is updated


Hello Matt, I guess CO is tricking you since two yrs...



Yes I agree it is a little tricky, especially when two Federal agencies cannot come together and have a single plan of action.
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 09 Mar 2016
Topic: Matt's forecast XLS is updated


How far do you think it will go ... is 1st Jul 2009 still possible or will it again stop at May 2009



I am yet to pin down to a particular date. I am sure from last year experience, we all know USCIS drastically increase or reduce the number of approvals in any given month.
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 09 Mar 2016
Topic: Matt's forecast XLS is updated


Matt after long time... Can we conclude that they haven't applied SO yet? If they apply SO during last quarter what will be the ball park of eb2 India dates? Any inputs of your prediction sheet of likely scenario?



I was waiting for the last year numbers, to give us some idea about the consumption in different categories. I think the approvals are slow, when compared to where EB2I dates are..I hope we see some more approvals this month..
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 09 Mar 2016
Topic: Matt's forecast XLS is updated


Hi Matt - could you pls explain why you think it moves further?



I expect atleast some SO from within EB2...
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 09 Mar 2016
Topic: Matt's forecast XLS is updated


Hello Matt,

Thanks for the response!
How far do you think EB2I will move by this fiscal year end.




Sometime during the next few weeks, I will update the spread sheet. I would like to put little more effort, before I even put out a conservative date. But I don't believe that the EB2I dates will stop where we are now.. This bulletin with very little movement, may have made our view point more conservative.
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 09 Mar 2016
Topic: Matt's forecast XLS is updated


After no hope .. back to Matt. :)



This bulletin was indeed bad, as many were expecting at-least a few months movement. But I do think that, EB2I will move much further, will it happen during the third quarter(Apr- June) or the last quarter(July to Sep) is based on one's point of view.
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 21 Jan 2016
Topic: 2016 Mass RFE


later the RFE is better. IMPO, June 09 becoming current this year is a stretch, unless there is enough SO. But you have to just to TB test and other evals. No vaccines if you have done them already. If you just did the first verivax vaccine, they might ask you to do the second one.



Early RFEs may suggest a movement in third quarter into 2009 than waiting for last quarter as every other year. USCIS operates in ways that outsiders cannot understand, so no one can be 100% certain of what is brewing..I hope many get greened this year..
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 21 Jan 2016
Topic: Magic words!


whats your Priority Date.. everywhere you have mentioned your Received Date...what is there to maintain such a secret in updating your profile and not even disclosing your PD date...?

You always want free ideas and suggestions and you wont bother to help others when they request you to update your profile.....





The case is EB2 ROW from the basic profile, so PD may not hold significance. But I agree with you, more people updating the tracker, helps us understand better..
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 14 Dec 2015
Topic: Urgent- Issue Different date in Birth certificate and Passport

I wrote a long reply, but before I submitted I got logged off. I will summarize .

a) Without the medical records it is close to impossible to get muncipalities update their record. There is a court route, but it is lengthy.

b) Try to get a NABC and support the same with notarized affidavits from your parents and other relatives who are aware of your birth. Also provide a self affidavit.

http://www.trackitt.com/usa-discussion-forums/i...

Good luck!!

Matt
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 14 Dec 2015
Topic: Urgent- Issue Different date in Birth certificate and Passport

if municipal corporation wrongly entered your date of birth in birth certificate, you will be able to correct those dates. Yes, it will not be straight forward and may involve multiple trips(etc...) to overcome the delays that happens in some government offices in India. That is your best bet. Given that you have a EB2I PD of 2013, you have enough time to get it done..
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 09 Dec 2015
Topic: EB2 - FEBRUARY VISA BULLETIN Predictions


Feb VB will also move 8mths to Oct 2008 ... March VB will be a cliffhanger .....



Once dates reach October of 2008, EB2I will be at the mercy of SO from other categories. Even to reach October 2008 we need SO visas, as new interfiling cases and porting cases will be consuming visas even now.

The other strategy could be to move dates assuming that USCIS will take couple of months to process those cases.
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Posted in I-485 Forum on 09 Dec 2015
Topic: Matt's forecast XLS is updated


When they will move accepting date looks like not till March to keep difference not more than 8-12 months right?



I am yet to get a grip around how they calculate acceptance dates. it will be great, if by April/May bulletin they could reach the high end of what may look possible within the fiscal year. I don't think they may be able to statistically calculate beyond that at mid year. if it is just a random date, and no logic included, no point discussing it..
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